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Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 57.98%1.72momio equitativo
EV -0.274%
Ventaja -0.159%
Kelly -0.380%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%57.98%58.01%59.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.641.651.7262.50%60.80%60.61%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 42.02%2.38momio equitativo
EV -0.833%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.613%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.71%42.02%41.99%44.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.302.3646.51%43.78%43.48%42.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 57.98%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 42.02%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.725. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.720, con un valor esperado de -0.274%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.274%E -0.159%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 14:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.854%E -0.499%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.93%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-20 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.04%E -2.23%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.14%E -3.23%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -0.833%E -0.353%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-20 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 16:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 14:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40% | 0.4% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-20 17:00 |