Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 17:06 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 4–9 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 57.98%1.72cote équitable
EV -0.274%
Avantage -0.159%
Kelly -0.380%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%57.98%58.01%59.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.641.651.7262.50%60.80%60.61%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.02%2.38cote équitable
EV -0.833%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.613%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.71%42.02%41.99%44.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.302.3646.51%43.78%43.48%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Phillies (Local) : 57.98% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 42.02%. Pour Philadelphia Phillies (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.725. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.720, pour une espérance de -0.274% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.274%E -0.159%K -0.380%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 14:19
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -0.854%E -0.499%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 16:50
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-20 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 16:09
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.93%E -1.27%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 16:50
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.59%E -1.54%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 14:49
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.04%E -2.23%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 16:50
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.17%E -1.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -7.14%E -3.23%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -0.833%E -0.353%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-20 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 14:49
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.75%E -2.26%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.72%E -3.03%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 16:39
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.25%E -0.533%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 15:40
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 14:49
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:00
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.33%E -2.63%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 15:39
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.20%E -1.84%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.62%E -2.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 15:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.91%E -3.00%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 16:59
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.09%E -0.899%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 14:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.46%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-05-20 17:00
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40%0.4%2026-05-20 17:00
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-20 17:00
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-20 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-20 16:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-20 14:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-20 17:00