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Philadelphia Phillies v Athletics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 59.73%1.67fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.75%59.79%59.51%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.581.6564.94%63.01%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletics (Visit)
Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -0.140%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.21%40.49%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.402.4843.86%41.63%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 59.73%; Athletics (Visit): 40.27%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.483. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.480, with an expected value of -0.140%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.15%E -0.886%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.63%E -1.62%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.140%E -0.057%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-06 22:27 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.57%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 22:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.02%E -3.16%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 12:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 23:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.81%E -4.37%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.81%E -4.37%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 05:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 20:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-05-06 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 18:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 22:40 |