A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Athletics

Início: 2026-05-06 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Athletics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 59.73%1.67odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -2.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.75%59.79%59.51%61.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.591.581.6564.94%63.01%63.29%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 40.27%2.48odd justa
EV -0.140%
Vantagem -0.057%
Kelly -0.095%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.60%40.21%40.49%41.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.282.402.402.4843.86%41.63%41.67%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 22:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 22:39
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 22:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 22:25
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.15%E -0.886%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 22:25
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.63%E -1.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:25
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.140%E -0.057%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 15:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 22:27
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 22:30
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 22:24
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.57%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:36
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:25
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:25
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 20:30
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 22:39
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 22:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.02%E -3.16%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:45
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:45
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:45
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 21:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:45
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:45
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 23:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.81%E -4.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 20:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.81%E -4.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 20:30
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:25
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 05:34
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:25
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:30
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-05-06 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-06 22:40
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-06 22:35
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-06 18:35
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-06 22:40
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-06 22:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-06 22:40