L’École des cotes

Philadelphia Phillies v Athletics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 22:41 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Phillies 6–3 Athletics

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prévision 59.73%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.872%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.75%59.79%59.51%61.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.591.581.6564.94%63.01%63.29%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletics (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.27%2.48cote équitable
EV -0.140%
Avantage -0.057%
Kelly -0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.60%40.21%40.49%41.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.402.402.4843.86%41.63%41.67%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 22:30
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 22:39
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 22:40
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.44%E -0.872%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 22:25
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.15%E -0.886%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 22:25
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -2.04%E -1.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-06 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.63%E -1.62%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 22:25
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.140%E -0.057%K -0.095%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-06 15:05
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.23%E -1.99%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 22:27
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 22:30
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 22:24
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.57%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 22:36
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 21:25
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:20
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.18%E -2.65%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 22:25
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.83%E -2.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 22:40
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-06 20:30
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 22:39
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 22:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.43%E -2.77%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.19%E -3.59%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.02%E -3.16%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 22:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:45
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:45
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.76%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.38%E -2.29%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.62%E -3.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:45
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 14:40
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 21:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:45
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 12:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 17:45
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 15:05
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 23:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.22%E -3.96%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.39%E -3.21%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.81%E -4.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 20:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.81%E -4.37%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 20:30
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:25
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.41%E -4.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.36%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 05:34
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:25
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:30
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.01%E -5.20%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.35%E -0.550%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 20:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-05-06 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-06 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-05-06 22:40
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-06 22:35
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-06 18:35
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-06 22:40
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-06 22:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-06 22:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-05-06 22:40