Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 2.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 60.30%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 39.70%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -4.13%E -2.59%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +1.24%E +0.486%K +0.800%G +0.010% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.049%E +0.019%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 23:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.348%E -0.139%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.348%E -0.139%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.745%E -0.298%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.745%E -0.298%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -1.14%E -0.459%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.54%E -0.621%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.13%E -2.59%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 00:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 00:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.11%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 23:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.92%E -1.81%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.14%E -4.64%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-21 00:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-21 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-05-21 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-05-21 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 01:10 |