L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 01:11 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 1–2 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 60.30%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.82%60.20%60.30%61.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.591.581.6264.94%63.03%63.09%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.70%2.52cote équitable
EV +1.24%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.800%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.41%39.80%39.70%41.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.56%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -4.13%E -2.59%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +1.24%E +0.486%K +0.800%G +0.010%2.1%2026-05-20 23:49
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.049%E +0.019%K +0.032%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 23:46
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.348%E -0.139%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.348%E -0.139%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 23:49
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.745%E -0.298%K -0.497%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 23:49
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.745%E -0.298%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 23:49
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -1.14%E -0.459%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-21 00:30
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.54%E -0.621%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 23:50
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 00:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:09
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.13%E -2.59%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 23:50
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:09
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:50
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:48
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 01:00
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:50
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.11%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:49
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 23:49
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 23:50
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 01:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 23:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 01:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.92%E -1.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 01:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:50
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.14%E -4.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-21 00:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-21 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-05-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-05-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-21 01:10
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-05-21 01:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-05-21 00:10
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%2.9%2026-05-21 01:10