مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays

البداية: 2026-05-21 01:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Yankees 1–2 Toronto Blue Jays

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Yankees (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.30%1.66السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -3.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.82%60.20%60.30%61.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.591.581.6264.94%63.03%63.09%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toronto Blue Jays (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.70%2.52السعر العادل
EV +1.24%
الأفضلية +0.486%
Kelly +0.800%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.41%39.80%39.70%41.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.56%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -4.13%E -2.59%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +1.24%E +0.486%K +0.800%G +0.010%2.1%2026-05-20 23:49
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +0.049%E +0.019%K +0.032%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 23:46
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.348%E -0.139%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -0.348%E -0.139%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 23:49
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -0.745%E -0.298%K -0.497%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-20 23:49
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -0.745%E -0.298%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 23:49
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -1.14%E -0.459%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-21 00:30
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.54%E -0.621%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 23:50
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 00:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:09
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.73%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 01:00
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 23:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.13%E -2.59%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 23:50
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.52%E -1.45%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 00:09
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 00:50
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 23:50
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:48
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 01:00
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 00:50
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.54%E -4.22%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.72%E -1.96%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 23:50
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.11%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 00:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:49
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 23:50
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 23:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 23:49
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.51%E -2.31%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 23:50
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 01:10
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 23:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.73%E -2.99%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.91%E -2.49%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 23:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.32%E -1.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.70%E -2.85%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 01:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.92%E -1.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 01:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.33%E -3.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 00:50
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -7.14%E -4.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.66%E -5.75%K -10.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 00:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-21 00:40
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-21 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-05-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-05-21 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-21 01:10
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-05-21 01:10
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-05-21 00:10
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%2.9%2026-05-21 01:10