Language:English
New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 64.04%1.56fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.07%63.96%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.491.5470.42%67.02%67.11%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)
Prediction 35.96%2.78fair odd
EV +0.684%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.380%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%35.93%36.04%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.662.652.8039.22%37.57%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 64.04%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 35.96%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.684%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +0.684%E +0.244%K +0.380%G +0.003% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV +0.324%E +0.116%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.395%E -0.143%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.755%E -0.273%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-21 20:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.19%E -0.806%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.55%E -0.942%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.55%E -0.942%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.38%E -0.893%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 18:07 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 18:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.06%E -6.38%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |