Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 23:06 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 3–1 Toronto Blue Jays

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 64.04%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.07%63.96%65.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.491.5470.42%67.02%67.11%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.96%2.78cote équitable
EV +0.684%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.380%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.98%35.93%36.04%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.662.652.8039.22%37.57%37.74%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 64.04% ; Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur) : 35.96%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.78. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.684%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +0.684%E +0.244%K +0.380%G +0.003%1.1%2026-08-21 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV +0.324%E +0.116%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.6%2026-08-21 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.395%E -0.143%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 16:34
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.755%E -0.273%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-21 21:45
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 20:13
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 22:29
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 20:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 14:49
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.19%E -0.806%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.55%E -0.942%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.55%E -0.942%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 21:59
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.38%E -0.893%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 20:30
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 21:55
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 18:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 14:25
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:30
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:30
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:28
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 20:39
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-21 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-21 18:23
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-21 22:00
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 20:39
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:49
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 22:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 22:30
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 20:39
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 14:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 22:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 14:49
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.06%E -6.38%K -21.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 22:30
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:00
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:04
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 22:38
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 22:53
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 22:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-08-21 22:50
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-21 23:05
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-21 16:50
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-21 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-21 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-21 23:05
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-08-21 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-21 22:49
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-08-21 22:14