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New York Yankees v Toronto Blue Jays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Yankees (Local)
Predicción 64.04%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.893%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%64.07%63.96%65.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.491.5470.42%67.02%67.11%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)
Predicción 35.96%2.78momio equitativo
EV +0.684%
Ventaja +0.244%
Kelly +0.380%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.98%35.93%36.04%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.662.652.8039.22%37.57%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 64.04%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 35.96%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.78. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.684%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%EV +0.684%E +0.244%K +0.380%G +0.003% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27%EV +0.324%E +0.116%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.395%E -0.143%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-21 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%EV -0.755%E -0.273%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-21 20:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.11%E -0.405%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00%EV -2.19%E -0.806%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.55%E -0.942%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.55%E -0.942%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.38%E -0.893%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 18:07 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.99%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -4.35%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-21 18:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 22:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 14:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 20:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.06%E -6.38%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 22:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.63%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-21 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 2.3% | 2026-08-21 22:14 |