The School of Odds

New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 17:40 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–6 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 55.10%1.81fair odd
EV +0.278%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.339%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.98%55.21%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.741.8260%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 44.90%2.23fair odd
EV -0.766%
Edge -0.346%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%45.02%44.79%46.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.112.102.2151%47%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.278%E +0.153%K +0.339%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.824%E -0.458%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.824%E -0.458%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:25
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:25
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:24
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 17:35
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 16:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.11%E -0.969%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:39
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.766%E -0.346%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 16:45
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.766%E -0.346%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:34
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.66%E -0.760%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.11%E -0.969%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 17:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:50
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:30
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:44
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:54
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:58
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:55
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 17:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:50
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.26%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 15:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:54
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:34
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 17:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 09:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 17:23
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.89%E -4.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 17:28
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -11.09%E -5.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-07-05 17:34
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-07-05 17:35