A Escola das Odds

New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

Início: 2026-07-05 17:40 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–6 Minnesota Twins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 55.10%1.81odd justa
EV +0.278%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.339%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.98%55.21%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.751.741.8259.52%57.24%57.47%54.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Previsão 44.90%2.23odd justa
EV -0.766%
Vantagem -0.346%
Kelly -0.633%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.02%44.79%46.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.982.112.102.2150.51%47.47%47.62%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.278%E +0.153%K +0.339%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.824%E -0.458%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.824%E -0.458%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:25
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:25
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:24
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 17:35
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 16:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.11%E -0.969%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:39
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.766%E -0.346%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 16:45
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.766%E -0.346%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:34
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.66%E -0.760%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.11%E -0.969%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 17:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:50
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:30
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:44
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:54
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:58
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:55
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 17:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:50
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.26%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 15:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:54
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:34
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 17:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 09:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 17:23
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.89%E -4.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 17:28
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -11.09%E -5.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-07-05 17:34
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-07-05 17:35