La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

Inicio: 2026-07-05 17:40 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–6 Minnesota Twins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 55.10%1.81momio equitativo
EV +0.278%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.339%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%54.98%55.21%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.751.741.8259.52%57.24%57.47%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 44.90%2.23momio equitativo
EV -0.766%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.633%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.02%44.79%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.112.102.2150.51%47.47%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV +0.278%E +0.153%K +0.339%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.824%E -0.458%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -0.824%E -0.458%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:25
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -1.38%E -0.768%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:29
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:25
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:25
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.93%E -1.08%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:24
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 17:35
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 16:50
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.11%E -0.969%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.48%E -1.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:39
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.766%E -0.346%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 16:45
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.766%E -0.346%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.21%E -0.552%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 17:34
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.66%E -0.760%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 16:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.03%E -1.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.11%E -0.969%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 17:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 16:50
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 05:30
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:44
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:54
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 16:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.13%E -2.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.01%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:58
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 16:55
DraftKings1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 17:30
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:50
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.26%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 15:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:40
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 07:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 16:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:54
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:34
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 17:35
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 17:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 09:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.33%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 17:23
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.89%E -4.07%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 17:28
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -11.09%E -5.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-07-05 17:34
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-05 17:35
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-05 17:35
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-07-05 17:35