Language:English
New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 59.93%1.67fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%59.91%59.95%61.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6564.94%63.00%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 40.07%2.50fair odd
EV -0.638%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.431%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%40.09%40.05%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.4844.44%41.77%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 59.93%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 40.07%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.638%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.11%E -0.672%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-04 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-06-04 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.44%E -0.585%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-04 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -3.04%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.638%E -0.257%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-04 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-04 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-04 17:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-04 16:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.638%E -0.257%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-04 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-04 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-04 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-04 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.65%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.65%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-04 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 15:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-04 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-04 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-04 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-04 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-04 17:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 06:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-04 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14% | 0.0% | 2026-06-04 17:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-04 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-06-04 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-04 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-06-04 17:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-06-04 15:10 |