Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-04 17:36 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 2–1 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 59.93%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.672%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%59.91%59.95%61.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.541.591.591.6564.94%63.00%62.89%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.07%2.50cote équitable
EV -0.638%
Avantage -0.257%
Kelly -0.431%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.79%40.09%40.05%41.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.4844.44%41.77%41.67%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 59.93% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 40.07%. Pour Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.50. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.48, pour une espérance de -0.638% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.11%E -0.672%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 17:00
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.44%E -0.585%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 17:19
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -3.04%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 16:29
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.638%E -0.257%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-04 17:20
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-04 17:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 17:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 16:38
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.638%E -0.257%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 16:39
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 17:29
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.65%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 14:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.65%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 16:29
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-04 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 15:09
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 15:10
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 17:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:29
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-04 15:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 17:06
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-04 06:29
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-06-04 17:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:30
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-04 16:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-04 15:10
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-06-04 17:29
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-04 15:10