La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-06-04 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 2–1 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 59.93%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.672%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.91%59.95%61.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.591.591.6564.94%63.00%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 40.07%2.50momio equitativo
EV -0.638%
Ventaja -0.257%
Kelly -0.431%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.79%40.09%40.05%41.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.392.402.4844.44%41.77%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.11%E -0.672%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 17:19
theScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.90%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.10%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-04 17:00
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.44%E -0.585%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-04 17:19
BetAnything1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.31%E -1.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -3.04%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-04 16:29
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.638%E -0.257%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-04 17:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-04 17:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 17:19
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.91%E -1.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 16:38
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.638%E -0.257%K -0.431%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-04 16:49
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.04%E -0.420%K -0.706%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 16:50
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 16:39
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 15:19
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 17:29
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 17:30
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.65%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 14:50
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.65%E -2.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:30
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:29
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 16:29
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.10%E -2.57%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-04 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 16:29
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:10
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.04%E -2.13%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:08
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.70%E -2.96%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 15:09
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 16:30
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:29
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.30%E -3.36%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-04 15:10
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 17:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 17:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.90%E -3.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.85%E -3.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-04 15:09
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -8.25%E -3.60%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 17:06
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:40
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-04 16:39
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-04 06:29
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:39
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:40
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -7.70%E -5.00%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.86%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.14%0.0%2026-06-04 17:20
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:30
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-04 17:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-04 16:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-04 15:10
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-06-04 17:29
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-06-04 15:10