Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–5 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 55.18%1.81fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.13%55.24%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.721.7959.88%57.82%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 44.82%2.23fair odd
EV -0.492%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.87%44.76%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.61%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 55.18%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 44.82%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.492%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.23%E -0.689%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 22:50
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.492%E -0.222%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 22:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:38
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:49
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.66%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 22:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.19%-0.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-06-03 22:50
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-06-03 23:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-03 23:00