Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-06-03 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–5 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 55.18%1.81odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.689%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%55.13%55.24%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.721.7959.88%57.82%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 44.82%2.23odd justa
EV -0.492%
Vantagem -0.222%
Kelly -0.403%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.87%44.76%46.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.61%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 55.18%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 44.82%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.23. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.22, com valor esperado de -0.492%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.23%E -0.689%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 22:50
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.492%E -0.222%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 22:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:38
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:49
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.66%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 22:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.19%-0.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-06-03 22:50
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-06-03 23:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-03 23:00