Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-06-03 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–5 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 55.18%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.689%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.95%55.13%55.24%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.721.7959.88%57.82%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 44.82%2.23momio equitativo
EV -0.492%
Ventaja -0.222%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.87%44.76%46.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.152.152.2248.78%46.61%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 55.18%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 44.82%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.22, con un valor esperado de -0.492%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.23%E -0.689%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 22:50
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.84%E -0.839%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-03 22:39
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.79%E -1.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-03 22:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.89%E -1.64%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.492%E -0.222%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 22:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.44%E -1.97%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.11%E -3.96%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:38
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.99%E -2.29%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.42%E -2.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.54%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.28%E -1.05%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.35%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.10%E -2.96%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-03 22:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-03 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 22:59
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-03 23:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:49
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.08%E -1.91%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.30%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.20%E -3.65%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.87%E -2.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.30%E -4.35%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.66%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-03 22:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.39%E -0.631%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.86%E -4.70%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.81%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.19%-0.3%2026-06-03 22:59
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-06-03 22:50
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%0.1%2026-06-03 23:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-03 23:00
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-03 23:00