Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 23:10 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–9 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 64.41%1.55fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.33%64.49%64.38%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.71%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.583%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.51%35.62%36.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.592.702.702.8438.61%37.01%37.04%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 64.41%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 35.59%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV +1.07%E +0.378%K +0.583%G +0.006%1.9%2026-06-02 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 22:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 23:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:38
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 20:39
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 20:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.84%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:50
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-02 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 22:50
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 22:50
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.74%E -1.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.74%E -1.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 23:00
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 23:00
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 22:59
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 23:00
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 22:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.82%E -7.02%K -24.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 22:57
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.62%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 22:59
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 23:00
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 22:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 22:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -7.82%E -3.02%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-06-02 23:00
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-06-02 23:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-02 23:00
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.27%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.73%1.0%2026-06-02 23:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-02 23:00
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-06-02 23:00
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%3.3%2026-06-02 23:00