La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-06-02 23:10 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–9 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 64.41%1.55momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.33%64.49%64.38%65.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5271.43%67.71%67.57%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 35.59%2.81momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.583%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%35.51%35.62%36.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.592.702.702.8438.61%37.01%37.04%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV +1.07%E +0.378%K +0.583%G +0.006%1.9%2026-06-02 22:00
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.351%E -0.125%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 22:39
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-02 22:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 23:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-02 22:49
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 23:00
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:39
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:40
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 20:38
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 20:00
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 20:39
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.13%E -0.775%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 20:39
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.84%E -1.04%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-02 22:59
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 23:00
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.20%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 22:50
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.07%EV -2.09%E -1.38%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.93%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-02 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 22:59
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 22:50
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 22:50
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.74%E -1.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 23:00
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.74%E -1.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 22:59
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 23:00
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 23:00
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 23:00
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 22:59
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-02 23:00
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:59
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:50
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.60%E -4.55%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 22:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.82%E -7.02%K -24.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.91%E -1.45%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-02 22:57
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.03%E -2.70%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.62%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 22:59
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 22:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-02 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 23:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 23:00
888sport1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 22:50
888sport (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.69%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 22:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 23:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.76%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 22:50
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 22:50
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.67%E -3.16%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.32%E -3.62%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.25%E -5.03%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.47%E -2.87%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-02 22:48
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -3.38%E -2.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -7.82%E -3.02%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-06-02 23:00
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-06-02 23:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-02 23:00
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.27%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.73%1.0%2026-06-02 23:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-06-02 23:00
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-06-02 23:00
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 64.94%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.06%3.3%2026-06-02 23:00