Language:English
New York Yankees v Atlanta Braves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +3.22%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.95%53.81%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.771.771.9160.24%56.34%56.50%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Braves (Visit)
Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.655%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%46.05%46.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.082.2052.36%48.38%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 53.89%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 46.11%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.93%E +1.53%K +3.22%G +0.094% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.25%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.303%E -0.164%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.63%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.38%E -0.755%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.38%E -0.755%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 19:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +1.44%E +0.655%K +1.20%G +0.017% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.32%E -0.619%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.09%E -5.17%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.94%E -2.91%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.864%E -0.402%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 00:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.54%E -6.35%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |