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New York Yankees v Atlanta Braves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Yankees (Local)
Predicción 53.89%1.86momio equitativo
EV +2.93%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +3.22%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%53.95%53.81%55.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.771.771.9160.24%56.34%56.50%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Braves (Visitante)
Predicción 46.11%2.17momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.655%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%46.05%46.19%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.082.2052.36%48.38%48.08%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 53.89%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 46.11%. Para New York Yankees (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.86. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.91, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.93%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.93%E +1.53%K +3.22%G +0.094% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.25%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.303%E -0.164%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.63%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.38%E -0.755%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.38%E -0.755%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 19:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +1.44%E +0.655%K +1.20%G +0.017% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.32%E -0.619%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.09%E -5.17%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.94%E -2.91%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.864%E -0.402%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 00:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.54%E -6.35%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 00:55 |