Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 01:01 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 3–2 Atlanta Braves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 53.89%1.86cote équitable
EV +2.93%
Avantage +1.53%
Kelly +3.22%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%53.95%53.81%55.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.771.771.9160.24%56.34%56.50%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.11%2.17cote équitable
EV +1.44%
Avantage +0.655%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%46.05%46.19%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.082.2052.36%48.38%48.08%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Yankees (Local) : 53.89% ; Atlanta Braves (Visiteur) : 46.11%. Pour New York Yankees (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.86. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.91, soit une espérance positive de +2.93%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.93%E +1.53%K +3.22%G +0.094%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.25%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.303%E -0.164%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.63%E -1.74%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.38%E -0.755%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:50
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.38%E -0.755%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:35
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 22:55
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.71%E -1.28%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 00:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.25%E -1.06%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:45
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.54%E -1.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV +1.44%E +0.655%K +1.20%G +0.017%1.6%2026-08-08 00:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 20:15
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 20:15
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 20:15
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.01%E -2.43%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.32%E -0.619%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.55%E -2.20%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.09%E -5.17%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.94%E -2.91%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.86%E -3.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 01:00
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.85%E -4.59%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.17%E -1.51%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.864%E -0.402%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.09%E -1.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 00:48
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.39%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -10.54%E -6.35%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -7.78%E -3.89%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-08 00:00
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-07 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-08 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-08 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-08 00:15
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-08-08 01:00
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%3.5%2026-08-08 01:00
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-08-08 00:55
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%9.9%2026-08-08 00:55