Language:English
New York Mets v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -0.926%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.691%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.97%42.40%42.33%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3447.62%44.35%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 57.66%1.73fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.00%57.60%57.67%59.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7164.10%60.68%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 42.34%; New York Yankees (Visit): 57.66%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -0.926%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.926%E -0.396%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.35%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.20%E -0.951%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 20:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.04%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-15 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 23:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.44%E -3.32%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.01%E -3.69%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.47%E -6.03%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.47%E -6.03%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.30%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.28%E -2.58%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.05%E -6.44%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.44%E -3.32%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 20:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 23:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.90%E -5.63%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 23:14 |