Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-05-15 23:16 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–5 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 42.34%2.36odd justa
EV -0.926%
Vantagem -0.396%
Kelly -0.691%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.97%42.40%42.33%44.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.252.252.3447.62%44.35%44.44%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 57.66%1.73odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.819%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.00%57.60%57.67%59.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.651.651.7164.10%60.68%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 42.34%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 57.66%. Para New York Mets (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.34, com valor esperado de -0.926%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.926%E -0.396%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:34
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.35%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:35
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:14
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.20%E -0.951%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 20:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 20:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 23:04
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 22:10
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.04%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
BetAnything🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:10
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:35
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.44%E -3.32%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.01%E -3.69%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:15
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.47%E -6.03%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:15
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.47%E -6.03%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.30%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 19:55
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:14
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.28%E -2.58%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.05%E -6.44%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:15
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:14
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.44%E -3.32%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 20:49
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:14
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 23:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:14
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.90%E -5.63%K -15.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 23:15
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 23:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-15 21:55
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-15 19:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-05-15 23:15
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32%1.4%2026-05-15 23:15
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-15 23:15
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-05-15 23:14