مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v New York Yankees

البداية: 2026-05-15 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 2–5 New York Yankees

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.34%2.36السعر العادل
EV -0.926%
الأفضلية -0.396%
Kelly -0.691%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.97%42.40%42.33%44.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.252.252.3447.62%44.35%44.44%42.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

New York Yankees (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.66%1.73السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.819%
Kelly -1.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.00%57.60%57.67%59.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.651.651.7164.10%60.68%60.61%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.926%E -0.396%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 22:34
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.35%E -0.579%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 23:10
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:35
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:35
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:14
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.77%E -0.764%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.17%E -4.45%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.20%E -0.951%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-15 22:35
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 20:00
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 20:35
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 23:04
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:35
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 22:10
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.04%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.47%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:15
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -3.89%E -1.71%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:10
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.55%E -1.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-15 22:10
MyBookie.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 22:10
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:05
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:35
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:08
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.44%E -3.32%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.01%E -3.69%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 23:15
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.47%E -6.03%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:15
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.74%E -2.10%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.47%E -6.03%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:15
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.30%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 19:55
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 23:14
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.28%E -2.58%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -5.58%E -2.50%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.05%E -6.44%K -17.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.40%E -0.819%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:14
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:14
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 20:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.71%E -2.22%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:09
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.44%E -3.32%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 23:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 20:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.59%E -4.07%K -10.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 23:15
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.85%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.74%E -4.84%K -12.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:13
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:14
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -7.28%E -3.32%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 23:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:14
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.70%E -3.53%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.13%E -1.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:14
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.90%E -5.63%K -15.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 23:15
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.86%E -2.95%K -7.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-05-15 23:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-15 21:55
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-15 19:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-05-15 23:15
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.68%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.32%1.4%2026-05-15 23:15
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-05-15 23:15
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%1.9%2026-05-15 23:14