Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.66%46.67%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.45%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 53.39%1.87fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.34%53.33%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.781.8459.52%56.39%56.18%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 46.61%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 53.39%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.146. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.150, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.208%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.208%E +0.097%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-24 21:35
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:35
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:24
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:25
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.30%E -6.13%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 21:50
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.76%E -0.956%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 23:09
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 22:15
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.76%E -0.956%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 23:10
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:44
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.25%E -3.64%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:42
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-24 22:30
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-24 23:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-24 20:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-07-24 23:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-24 23:00

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