L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 23:11 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 46.61%2.15cote équitable
EV +0.208%
Avantage +0.097%
Kelly +0.181%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.66%46.67%48.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.45%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.39%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.00%53.34%53.33%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.771.781.8459.52%56.39%56.18%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.208%E +0.097%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 23:09
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-24 21:35
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:35
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:05
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:25
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:24
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.30%E -6.13%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 21:50
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.76%E -0.956%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 23:09
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 22:15
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 23:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 20:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.76%E -0.956%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 23:10
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.25%E -3.64%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:42
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-24 22:30
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-24 23:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-24 20:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-07-24 23:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-24 23:00