La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-07-24 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 46.61%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.208%
Ventaja +0.097%
Kelly +0.181%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.66%46.67%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.45%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.39%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.956%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.34%53.33%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.771.781.8459.52%56.39%56.18%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.208%E +0.097%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 23:00
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -1.19%E -0.561%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -8.70%E -5.09%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:50
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 23:09
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 23:10
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.66%E -0.785%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-24 21:35
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:35
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:05
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:25
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:24
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.30%E -6.13%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 21:50
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -1.76%E -0.956%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 23:09
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:25
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 22:15
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 23:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 22:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 23:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 21:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 20:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 20:45
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 22:05
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -1.76%E -0.956%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 23:10
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 20:20
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 21:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 20:45
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -7.25%E -3.64%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 22:42
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 23:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.90%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-07-24 23:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-24 22:30
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-07-24 23:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-24 20:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-24 23:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-07-24 23:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-07-24 23:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-24 23:00