Language:English
New York Mets v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 58.76%1.70fair odd
EV -0.693%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.70%58.96%61.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.53%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 41.24%2.42fair odd
EV +5.16%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +3.33%
Growth +0.172%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.41%41.30%41.04%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.322.5546.51%43.11%43.10%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 58.76%; Houston Astros (Visit): 41.24%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +5.16%E +2.02%K +3.33%G +0.172% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +1.45%E +0.588%K +0.991%G +0.014% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.209%E +0.086%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.615%E -0.255%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.615%E -0.255%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.44%E -0.603%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 20:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.28%E -0.762%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.46%E -1.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 19:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |