Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-29 20:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–2 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 58.76%1.70odd justa
EV -0.693%
Vantagem -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%58.70%58.96%61.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.53%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 41.24%2.42odd justa
EV +5.16%
Vantagem +2.02%
Kelly +3.33%
Crescimento +0.172%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.41%41.30%41.04%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.322.322.5546.51%43.11%43.10%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 58.76%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 41.24%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.16%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +5.16%E +2.02%K +3.33%G +0.172%2.1%2026-08-29 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +1.45%E +0.588%K +0.991%G +0.014%2.0%2026-08-29 20:05
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.209%E +0.086%K +0.146%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.615%E -0.255%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.615%E -0.255%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 20:10
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-29 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-29 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 20:10
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 20:09
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 20:08
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.44%E -0.603%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:40
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 18:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 20:08
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:10
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:10
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:10
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 20:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:10
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 19:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 20:07
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.28%E -0.762%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 20:10
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.46%E -1.48%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 20:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:09
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 20:10
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 20:09
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 19:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-08-29 20:05
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-08-29 20:05
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-29 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-29 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-29 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-29 20:05
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-08-29 20:10
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-29 20:10
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-29 20:05
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-08-29 20:10