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New York Mets v Houston Astros
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 58.76%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.693%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%58.70%58.96%61.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.53%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Houston Astros (Visitante)
Predicción 41.24%2.42momio equitativo
EV +5.16%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +3.33%
Crecimiento +0.172%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.41%41.30%41.04%43.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.322.322.5546.51%43.11%43.10%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 58.76%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 41.24%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.42. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +5.16%E +2.02%K +3.33%G +0.172% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +1.45%E +0.588%K +0.991%G +0.014% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV +0.209%E +0.086%K +0.146%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.615%E -0.255%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.615%E -0.255%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 19:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.03%E -0.428%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 20:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.44%E -0.603%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.778%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-29 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.26%E -0.956%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 20:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.693%E -0.410%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 19:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.33%E -1.87%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 20:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.39%E -3.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.74%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -1.28%E -0.762%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.98%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.39%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.46%E -1.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.92%E -5.75%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.21%E -3.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.63%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.63%E -2.21%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.04%E -1.84%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.34%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 19:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 20:10 |