A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-06-23 23:21 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–9 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 49.26%2.03odd justa
EV +0.973%
Vantagem +0.475%
Kelly +0.927%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.70%49.32%49.08%50.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.931.932.0555.56%51.74%51.81%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 50.74%1.97odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.537%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.34%50.68%50.92%52.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.06%53.19%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.973%E +0.475%K +0.927%G +0.009%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:19
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 21:50
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 23:19
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 23:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 20:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.98%E -0.996%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 23:04
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 23:10
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 20:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 21:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 23:19
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.63%E -3.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 23:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:59
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.05%E -0.537%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 23:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.56%E -0.802%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 23:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 17:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:16
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:30
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 23:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-23 23:16
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 23:10
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%3.9%2026-06-23 23:09
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%4.2%2026-06-23 23:20