مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-06-23 23:21 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 6–9 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.26%2.03السعر العادل
EV +0.973%
الأفضلية +0.475%
Kelly +0.927%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.70%49.32%49.08%50.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.931.932.0555.56%51.74%51.81%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.74%1.97السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.537%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.34%50.68%50.92%52.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.06%53.19%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.973%E +0.475%K +0.927%G +0.009%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:19
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 21:50
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 23:19
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 23:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 20:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.98%E -0.996%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 23:04
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 23:10
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 20:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 21:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 23:19
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.63%E -3.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 23:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:59
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.05%E -0.537%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 23:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.56%E -0.802%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 23:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 17:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:16
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:30
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 23:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-23 23:16
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 23:10
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%3.9%2026-06-23 23:09
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%4.2%2026-06-23 23:20