L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 23:21 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 6–9 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 49.26%2.03cote équitable
EV +0.973%
Avantage +0.475%
Kelly +0.927%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.70%49.32%49.08%50.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.932.0555.56%51.74%51.81%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.74%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.34%50.68%50.92%52.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.06%53.19%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.973%E +0.475%K +0.927%G +0.009%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:19
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 21:50
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 23:19
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 23:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 20:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.98%E -0.996%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 23:04
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 23:10
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 20:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 21:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 23:19
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.63%E -3.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 23:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:59
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.05%E -0.537%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 23:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.56%E -0.802%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 23:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 17:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:16
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:30
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 23:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-23 23:16
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 23:10
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%3.9%2026-06-23 23:09
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%4.2%2026-06-23 23:20