La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-06-23 23:21 UTC

Final: New York Mets 6–9 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 49.26%2.03momio equitativo
EV +0.973%
Ventaja +0.475%
Kelly +0.927%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.70%49.32%49.08%50.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.932.0555.56%51.74%51.81%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 50.74%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.34%50.68%50.92%52.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.06%53.19%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.973%E +0.475%K +0.927%G +0.009%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:19
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 21:50
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.504%E -0.250%K -0.494%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -4.09%E -2.17%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 23:19
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -0.997%E -0.496%K -0.987%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 23:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.49%E -0.745%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 20:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.98%E -0.996%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 23:04
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 23:10
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.47%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 19:50
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 20:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:50
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 22:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:00
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 23:19
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 19:10
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.61%E -3.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 21:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 23:19
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.63%E -3.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 23:10
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.11%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:59
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -1.05%E -0.537%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 23:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -1.56%E -0.802%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 23:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 17:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 22:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.14%E -3.90%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:16
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.89%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:20
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.65%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 20:30
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.08%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 23:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -4.60%E -2.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-23 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 23:18
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-23 23:16
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-06-23 23:20
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-23 23:10
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%2.1%2026-06-23 23:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-06-23 23:20
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%3.9%2026-06-23 23:09
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%4.2%2026-06-23 23:20