Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 49.08%2.04fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.10%48.98%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.932.0154.05%51.59%51.81%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 50.92%1.96fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.90%51.02%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.21%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 49.08%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 50.92%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.94, with an expected value of -1.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%EV -1.36%E -0.674%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.36%E -0.674%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 16:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 05:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.21%E -0.623%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.32%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 15:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.28%E -2.84%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:07 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:22 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.30%E -3.42%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 17:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 17:52 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.75%E -3.55%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.75%E -3.55%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.83%E -4.33%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.83%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.83%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 18:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 18:03 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 15:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |