默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 18:12 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 5–7 Philadelphia Phillies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 49.08%2.04公平赔率
EV -1.36%
优势 -0.674%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.10%48.98%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.941.932.0154.05%51.59%51.81%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 50.92%1.96公平赔率
EV -1.21%
优势 -0.623%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.90%51.02%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.21%53.19%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):49.08%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):50.92%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.94,期望值为-1.21%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%EV -1.36%E -0.674%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.36%E -0.674%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 05:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.21%E -0.623%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.32%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:59
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:54
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:54
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.28%E -2.84%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 18:09
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:09
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:50
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:07
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:22
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.30%E -3.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:53
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 18:09
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 17:52
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.75%E -3.55%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.75%E -3.55%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.83%E -4.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.83%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.83%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:03
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 18:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-16 18:10
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-08-16 18:10
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 18:09
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 15:10
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 13:55
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 18:10
BetOpenly◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-08-16 18:09
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%7.6%2026-08-16 17:55