Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-08-16 18:12 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–7 Philadelphia Phillies

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 49.08%2.04odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -1.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.10%48.98%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.932.0154.05%51.59%51.81%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 50.92%1.96odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.623%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.90%51.02%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.21%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 49.08%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 50.92%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.96. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.94, com valor esperado de -1.21%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%EV -1.36%E -0.674%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-16 17:55
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.36%E -0.674%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 05:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.85%E -0.923%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.34%E -1.17%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:59
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.21%E -0.623%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.83%E -1.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.32%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:59
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 15:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.25%E -1.71%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:54
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:54
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.28%E -2.84%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.30%E -2.21%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -1.72%E -0.891%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 18:09
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 16:09
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.79%E -2.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:50
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.28%E -2.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:07
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.76%E -1.99%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:22
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.77%E -3.01%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.30%E -3.42%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:53
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 18:09
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.26%E -3.28%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 17:52
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.75%E -3.55%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.26%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.75%E -3.55%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.83%E -4.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.83%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.83%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -4.77%E -2.55%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:03
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.13%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:03
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.21%E -4.98%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 18:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-16 18:10
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%0.5%2026-08-16 18:10
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-16 18:09
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 15:10
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 13:55
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-16 18:10
BetOpenly◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-08-16 18:09
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%7.6%2026-08-16 17:55