Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 1–8 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV +0.331%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.32%39.36%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.43%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 60.65%1.65fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%60.68%60.64%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.6266.67%63.44%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 39.35%; New York Yankees (Visit): 60.65%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.331%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.331%E +0.130%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:25
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.24%E -0.495%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:25
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.35%E -1.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:40
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.35%E -1.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 23:25
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 19:15
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.977%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 20:50
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.42%E -0.977%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 23:38
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 20:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:05
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.00%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:19
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 21:49
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:20
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:10
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.18%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 20:55
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 20:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:30
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 20:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 23:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 21:14
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 20:55
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 20:55
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:15
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.72%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.51%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.41%E -5.57%K -16.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
BetOpenly◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-15 23:20
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-15 23:40
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-15 20:50
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-15 20:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-09-15 23:40