默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 23:41 UTC

最终结果： Minnesota Twins 1–8 New York Yankees

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

39%

61%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 39.35%2.54公平赔率

EV +0.331%

优势 +0.130%

Kelly +0.213%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布

37.50%39.32%39.36%40.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.43%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 60.65%1.65公平赔率

EV -1.74%

优势 -1.07%

Kelly -2.81%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

59.49%60.68%60.64%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.501.581.571.6266.67%63.44%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Minnesota Twins (主队)：39.35%；New York Yankees (客队)：60.65%。对于“Minnesota Twins (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.54。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.55，对应+0.331%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fliff🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.331%E +0.130%K +0.213%G +0.001%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-15 21:25
GTbets🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.24%E -0.495%K -0.823%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-15 23:25
Pinnacle🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.35%E -1.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-15 21:40
Everygame🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.35%E -1.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-15 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-15 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-15 23:25
BetUS🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-09-15 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-14 19:15
1xBet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.977%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-15 20:50
BetAnything🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.42%E -0.977%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-09-15 23:38
ReBet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 21:20
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 20:55
Fanatics🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 21:05
Coral🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 21:05
BetMGM🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.00%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-15 21:19
Caesars🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-15 21:49
Bovada🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 22:35
FanDuel🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-15 20:50
DraftKings🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-15 21:20
Bet Right🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 21:10
Coolbet🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 21:10
SportsBet🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.18%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 20:50
BetRivers🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Casumo🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Bally Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
betPARX🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
TAB🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 20:55
PlayUp🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 20:45
888sport🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 21:10
betfred_uk🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 20:45
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-15 23:40
Bet Victor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-15 23:30
betano_uk🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-15 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 20:50
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-15 21:20
TABtouch🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-15 23:25
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-15 21:45
Paddy Power🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-15 21:14
NordicBet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-15 20:55
Betsson🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-15 20:55
Neds🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 23:15
LeoVegas🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.72%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-15 23:10
Grosvenor🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.51%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.41%E -5.57%K -16.49%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-15 23:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	0.4%	2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	0.4%	2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	0.4%	2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	0.4%	2026-09-15 23:40
BetOpenly◎	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	0.5%	2026-09-15 23:20
ProphetX◎	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%	0.5%	2026-09-15 23:40
Kalshi◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-09-15 20:50
Polymarket◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%	1.2%	2026-09-15 20:55
Matchbook◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	1.4%	2026-09-15 23:40
Smarkets◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%	2.6%	2026-09-15 23:40

Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

胜负盘

Minnesota Twins (主队)

New York Yankees (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)