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Minnesota Twins v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-09-15 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 1–8 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 39.35%2.54odd justa
EV +0.331%
Vantagem +0.130%
Kelly +0.213%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%39.32%39.36%40.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.43%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 60.65%1.65odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.49%60.68%60.64%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.571.6266.67%63.44%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 39.35%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 60.65%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.54. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.331%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.331%E +0.130%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:25
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.24%E -0.495%K -0.823%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 23:25
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.35%E -1.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 21:40
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.35%E -1.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-15 23:25
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-15 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.64%E -0.655%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 19:15
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.42%E -0.977%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-15 20:50
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.42%E -0.977%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-15 23:38
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 20:55
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:05
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.00%E -1.64%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 21:19
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.24%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 21:49
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 20:50
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 21:20
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:10
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.78%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 21:10
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.18%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 23:25
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 20:55
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 20:45
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 20:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:30
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.57%E -2.32%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.74%E -1.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 20:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 21:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 23:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.36%E -2.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 21:14
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 20:55
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.75%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 20:55
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.95%E -1.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:15
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.21%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.77%E -3.04%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.72%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.59%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.51%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.20%E -4.70%K -13.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.47%E -5.10%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.41%E -5.57%K -16.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 23:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-15 23:40
BetOpenly◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-15 23:20
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-15 23:40
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-15 20:50
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-15 20:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-09-15 23:40
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-09-15 23:40