Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-05-12 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 3–0 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.01%2.00odd justa
EV +0.027%
Vantagem +0.013%
Kelly +0.027%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.85%50.03%50.00%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.901.912.0054.64%52.69%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 49.99%2.00odd justa
EV +0.973%
Vantagem +0.482%
Kelly +0.954%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.97%50.00%51.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.912.0254.05%51.88%52.36%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.01%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 49.99%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.02, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.973%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV +0.973%E +0.482%K +0.954%G +0.009%3.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.03%E -0.518%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.03%E -0.518%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.775%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.775%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:00
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 20:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 20:35
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.47%E -0.748%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 20:05
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.027%E +0.013%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 19:10
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 23:38
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 12:14
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:45
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:45
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 23:30
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.47%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 23:38
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.98%E -3.75%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:40
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-12 23:40
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-05-12 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-12 21:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-12 23:40
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-12 23:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-05-12 23:40
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-05-12 23:40