L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 23:41 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 3–0 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 50.01%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.027%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.027%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.85%50.03%50.00%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.912.0054.64%52.69%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.99%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.973%
Avantage +0.482%
Kelly +0.954%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%49.97%50.00%51.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.931.912.0254.05%51.88%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV +0.973%E +0.482%K +0.954%G +0.009%3.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.03%E -0.518%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.03%E -0.518%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.775%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.775%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:00
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:30
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 20:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 20:35
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.47%E -0.748%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 20:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.027%E +0.013%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 19:10
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 23:38
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 18:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 12:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 21:10
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:35
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 23:40
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:35
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:45
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 23:30
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.47%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 23:38
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 23:39
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.98%E -3.75%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 21:15
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-12 23:40
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-05-12 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-12 21:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-12 23:40
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-12 23:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-05-12 23:40
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-05-12 23:40