La scuola delle quote

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-05-12 23:41 UTC

Finale: Minnesota Twins 3–0 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Casa)

Previsione 50.01%2.00quota equa
EV +0.027%
Vantaggio +0.013%
Kelly +0.027%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.85%50.03%50.00%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.901.912.0054.64%52.69%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.99%2.00quota equa
EV +0.973%
Vantaggio +0.482%
Kelly +0.954%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%49.97%50.00%51.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.931.912.0254.05%51.88%52.36%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV +0.973%E +0.482%K +0.954%G +0.009%3.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.027%E -0.013%K -0.027%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.03%E -0.518%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.03%E -0.518%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.775%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -1.53%E -0.775%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 23:00
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.97%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 23:30
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.30%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 20:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.03%E -1.56%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 20:35
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.47%E -0.748%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.53%E -1.83%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.473%E -0.238%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:10
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.03%E -2.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 20:05
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.027%E +0.013%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 19:10
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 23:38
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 19:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 18:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 12:14
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 16:35
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 21:10
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:35
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.53%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 23:40
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 17:35
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:45
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.97%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.97%E -3.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.03%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 23:30
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.47%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 23:38
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 23:39
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.53%E -2.92%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.97%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -6.98%E -3.75%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -6.03%E -3.20%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.47%E -1.27%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.47%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 23:40
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.47%E -3.46%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 21:15
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.47%E -2.90%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 23:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-05-12 23:40
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-05-12 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-12 21:25
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-05-12 23:40
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-12 23:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-05-12 23:40
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-05-12 23:40