Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV +0.281%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.275%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%49.62%49.60%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.932.0254.05%51.82%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.926%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%50.38%50.40%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.89%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 49.64%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 50.36%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.281%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV +0.281%E +0.139%K +0.275%G +0.001% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.216%E -0.107%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.712%E -0.356%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.21%E -0.607%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.71%E -0.861%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-14 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 17:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 17:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 17:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 17:39 |