A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-05-14 17:45 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 9–1 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 49.64%2.01odd justa
EV +0.281%
Vantagem +0.139%
Kelly +0.275%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.43%49.62%49.60%50.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.932.0254.05%51.82%51.81%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 50.36%1.99odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.926%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%50.38%50.40%51.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.89%52.91%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV +0.281%E +0.139%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 17:30
Everygame2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.216%E -0.107%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 16:50
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.712%E -0.356%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 17:20
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.21%E -0.607%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 17:25
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.71%E -0.861%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 17:39
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:40
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:21
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:25
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:25
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 16:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:31
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 17:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:21
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:09
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:35
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:21
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:55
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:25
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:30
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 16:55
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:30
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:05
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:05
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:31
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:10
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-14 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-05-14 17:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-05-14 17:31
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-14 17:30
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-14 17:40
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-14 17:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-05-14 17:40
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%4.8%2026-05-14 17:39