L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 17:45 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 9–1 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 49.64%2.01cote équitable
EV +0.281%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.275%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.43%49.62%49.60%50.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.931.932.0254.05%51.82%51.81%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.36%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.926%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.33%50.38%50.40%51.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.891.891.9554.64%52.89%52.91%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV +0.281%E +0.139%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 17:30
Everygame2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.216%E -0.107%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 16:50
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.712%E -0.356%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 17:20
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.21%E -0.607%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.32%E -1.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 17:25
BetAnything1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.71%E -0.861%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 17:39
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:40
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:21
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:25
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.926%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:25
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 16:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:31
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 17:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:21
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 17:09
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:35
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:21
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -2.81%E -1.46%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 16:55
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:25
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:30
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.69%E -1.90%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 16:55
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:05
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:05
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 17:30
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:05
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:05
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:31
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -2.31%E -1.19%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 17:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:00
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:10
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.85%E -4.29%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:50
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.33%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.32%E -2.28%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 17:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-14 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-05-14 17:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-05-14 17:31
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-05-14 17:30
ProphetX2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.1%2026-05-14 17:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-14 17:40
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-05-14 17:40
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%3.3%2026-05-14 17:40
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%4.8%2026-05-14 17:39